Aug 06, 2020
Biden WILL beat Trump says historian who predicted every presidential race since 1984
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AN American University Professor is expecting Joe Biden to beat Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election.
Allan Lichtman has speculated that former Vice President Biden will outshine Trump in November by using "13 key factors," according to a New York Times video Op-Ed published on Wednesday.4Allan Lichtman, pictured, has speculated that former Vice President Biden will outshine Trump in NovemberCredit: AFP - Getty 4Credit: Reuters 4The historian's predictions come as Trump's campaign is 'trying to move up the final debate against Biden'Credit: Getty Images - Getty
Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential race since 1984.
The keys in question consist of 13 of true-false statements.
According to CNBC, the categories are listed as follows: Party Mandate, Contest, Incumbency, Third Party, Short-Term Economy, Long-Term Economy, Policy Change, Social Unrest, Scandal, Foreign or Military Failure, Foreign or Military Success, Incumbent Charisma, and Challenger Charisma.
Each section is accompanied by a true-false statement, for example: "Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the House than it did after the previous midterm elections."
Lichtman's findings only suggest Biden is slightly more favored than Trump.
According to the historian, seven of the 13 factors support Biden and six favor President Trump.The 13 Keys to the White House
The following is a list of true-false statements used by Allan Lichtman to determine who will win the presidential election:
1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the House than it did after the previous midterm elections.
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The sitting president is running for re-election.
4. Third Party: There is no major third-party challenge.
5. Short-Term Economy: The economy during the election season is not in recession.
6. Long-Term Economy: Real annual per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the two previous terms.
7. Policy Change: The incumbent causes major changes in national policy.
8. Social Unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the campaign.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandals.
10. Foreign or Military Failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign or Military Success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent Charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic.
13. Challenger Charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic.
Speaking on video to the NY Times, Lichtman said: "History tells us voters are not fooled by the tricks of the campaign.
"Voters vote pragmatically according to how well the party holding the White House has governed the country."
Despite his previous successful projections, Lichtman admitted: "There are forces at play outside the keys."
He suggested the outside factors to be voter suppression and possible Russian meddling in the 2020 election.
Lichtman added: "It's up to you, the voter, to decide the future of our democracy.
"So, get out and vote. Vote in person. Vote by mail.
"As Abraham Lincoln said, the best way to predict the future is to choose it."4Biden leads Trump in national poll by three percentage points, according to a new surveyCredit: Getty Images - Getty
The historian's predictions come as Biden leads Trump in national poll by three percentage points, according to a new survey.
Biden got 43 percent of support from voters while Trump got 40 percent in a Hill-HarrisX poll conducted from August 2 to 5 and released on Wednesday.Most read in NewsLAGO PANICTeens with AK-47 jump wall at Mar-a-Lago, police say - but they were just 'lost'SOCIAL STORMTwitter BANS Trump team from tweeting over virus video as Facebook axes postNO-CONFIDENCE VOTETrump slams Hillary for fears he & GOP are ‘trying to SABOTAGE election’'he does things without asking'Women 'tell horror tales of rape & groping by Ron Jeremy'PLAYING WITH FIREPics show 'bags of explosive chemicals packed into Beirut warehouse''NO ONE KNOWS'Trump now says Beirut blast 'could be accident' after suggesting it was BOMB
Meanwhile, Trump's campaign is "trying to move up the final debate against Joe Biden or add an extra face-off before the election."
Rudy Giuliani made the request to the Commission on Presidential Debates on Wednesday.
And podcasting king Joe Rogan said Biden is “mentally compromised” after the presidential candidate’s latest "cocaine" gaffe.Trump says he's ready to debate Biden and that the first debate should be earlier
News Source: the-sun.com
Chelsea boss Frank Lampard picks his dream seven-a-side team from opponents he’s faced led by Messi and Ronaldo
FRANK LAMPARD has named Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi in his dream seven-a-side team compiled of opponents he faced during his playing days.
The Chelsea boss has also opted to name two of his former England team-mates in Rio Ferdinand and Steven Gerrard.2This is the dream seven-a-side team that Frank Lampard has chosen out of players he has competed against
Unsurprisingly, the 42-year-old has went for an attacking side with just one defender and two midfielders.CHELSEA NEWS LIVE: Click here for the latest Blues news
Speaking at a virtual Q&A hosted by Hyundai, the former West Ham midfielder was asked a number of questions by kids.
And when asked to create a seven-a-side team out of the best players he has competed against, Lampard went all-out attack.
He said: "It's Neuer, Rio (Ferdinand), Steven Gerrard, Zidane, Ronaldinho, Messi and Ronaldo."
To which the young inquisitor remarked: "Yeah, that is a sick team to be fair."
His squad included 13 Ballon d'Or winners, with Messi and Ronaldo sharing 11 awards between them, while Zidane and Ronaldinho have each won the prestigious trophy once.
Here SunSport runs you down Lampard's full team.2 Manuel Neuer
The Bayern Munich goalkeeper was the man between the sticks when Lampard helped Chelsea beat the Bavarian outfit in the 2012 Champions League final.
And he was also in goal when Lampard's looping attempt in the 2010 World Cup Round of 16 clash failed to be given despite the ball being well over the line.Rio Ferdinand
Lampard came through the ranks at West Ham with the defender as well as being in the same England team for 12 years.
And he enjoyed a number of battles when Ferdinand was at Manchester United - with the Red Devils beating the Blues in the 2008 European Cup final.Steven Gerrard
Lampard and Gerrard spent 14 years playing in the middle of the park together for England.
But just like with Rio at United, Lampard's Blues side had a fierce rivalry with Liverpool, with Chelsea beating the Reds in the League Cup final in 2005.Chelsea's Premier League squad
Full squad, in number order...
Andreas Christensen – homegrown
Tammy Abraham – homegrown
Fikayo Tomori – homegrown
Mason Mount - under-21
Callum Hudson-Odoi - under-21
Ben Chilwell – homegrown
Billy Gilmour - under-21
Reece James - under-21
Kai Havertz - under-21
A Zidane-inspired masterclass helped France beat England 2-1 at Euro 2004.
The Real Madrid legend scored twice in injury time to cancel out Lampard's early opener.Ronaldinho
Few forget THAT Ronaldinho goal at Stamford Bridge in 2005 when he beat Petr Cech from range with the outside of his right boot.
But it was Lampard who had the last laugh as Chelsea beat Barcelona 5-4 on aggregate to advance to the quarter-finals.Cristiano Ronaldo
Both Lampard and Ronaldo scored in the 2008 Champions League final, where United beat Chelsea on penalties.
Ronaldo missed his spot-kick in the shootout, while Lampard found the back of the net.latest chelsea newsLive BlogBLUES NEWSChelsea transfer news LIVE - Latest updates from Stamford BridgeFeatureMichelin MenInflatable trousers Bale, AJ and Silva use to heal faster and play longerRevealedABRA CADABRAWhy Abramovich hasn't been attending Chelsea he returns to watch Krasnodar winFeatureZIG ZAGMeet Chelsea's Karlo Ziger who sat next to Caballero on bench - and is HALF his agePicturedSAFETY PINThiago Silva watches Chelsea win in recovery trousers - after bowling on day off Lionel Messi
Chelsea and Barca have had a number of classic matches over the years.
In ten games against the West Londoners, Messi has chipped in with three goals and three assists.
But perhaps his biggest moment against the Blues was his penalty miss in the 2012 semi-final that proved key in Chelsea advancing to the final.Frank Lampard 'hopes he made Roman Abramovich happy' as owner sees first match in 18 months as Chelsea down Krasnodar